- Former Vice President Joe Biden is leading President Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2020 general election by comfortably wide margins in the polls.
- In 1983, former Vice President Walter Mondale was also besting sitting President Ronald Reagan by wide margins in the polls. He went on, however, to the worst electoral defeat for any Democratic presidential candidate in history.
- Mondale’s campaign alienated middle class, blue collar workers in the North and Midwest. Joe Biden seems determined to follow the same path to election defeat. Just yesterday Nancy Pelosi warned the 2020 field has run too far to the left.
It’s one year before the presidential election. The current Republican president, an ex-Democrat television celebrity from a blue state, suffers from low job approval numbers.
He’s also behind in the general election polls. The president is trailing the Democratic primary front-runner, who was Vice President of the United States less than four years ago.
It’s 2019. And it’s also 1983.
A Donald Trump Landslide 2020
1984 Electoral College Map.
Despite trailing in the polls, Donald Trump is still set up for a potential landslide in 2020, provided nothing major changes in the next 12 months. Yes, Joe Biden is leading Trump by an average of 6.7 percentage points in recent polls. But in 1983 it appeared that former Vice President Walter Mondale would beat Ronald Reagan by 12% in the 1984 election.
That didn’t stop Reagan from going on to defeat Mondale in one of history’s most lopsided U.S. presidential election contests. Neither did Reagan’s low job approval numbers.
A year before the election, Donald Trump’s job approval rating hovers in the low 40%. This summer,