On Sunday, government officials in Italy issued a quarantine that will lock down 16 million people, including residents in Venice and Milan, as the country’s number of coronavirus cases jumped to 7,375.
According to the Associated Press, the quarantine in Italy applies to the Lombardy region and more than a dozen other provinces, affecting conferences, events and weddings, and places where people congregate, including museums, movie theaters, shopping malls and restaurants. The tight restrictions will impact roughly 25% of the country’s population.
Says Premiere Giuseppe Conte,
“There will be a ban for everybody to move in and out of these territories and also within the same territory. Exceptions will be allowed only for proven professional needs, exceptional cases and health issues.”
With the number of confirmed Covid-19 cases on the rise, people are trying to assess the risks while analyzing the data. According to Johns Hopkins University, there are currently 109,575 confirmed cases worldwide, up from 101,932 on Friday. Since the first case was detected in Wuhan, China in December of last year, Covid-19 has killed 3,799.
So how will the virus continue to spread throughout local communities? And how can projections account for spread among the homeless where testing is limited or non-existent?
Liz Specht, associate director of science and technology at The Good Food Institute, guest lecturer at Singularity University and former undergraduate research assistant in chemical and biomolecular engineering at Johns Hopkins University, lays out via Twitter how the virus is projected to spread – by the numbers.
“I think most people aren’t aware of the risk of systemic healthcare failure due to COVID19 because they simply haven’t run the numbers yet.